Spring food crisis may trigger economic collapse

January 7, 2010 @ Michael Hampton69 Comments

You have maybe two months to stock up on the necessities of life before food prices rise dramatically, potentially prompting a food panic, widespread famine, and quite possibly the long-expected collapse of the U.S. economy.

Farmers across America and in many other parts of the world are calling 2009 the worst harvest they’ve ever seen in their lives, owing largely to extended bouts of bad weather. At the same time the U.S. Department of Agriculture is officially forecasting bumper crops, while close to three-fourths of the country’s farmland is in areas declared eligible for federal disaster assistance due to failed crops.

A popular farmers’ Web site is chock full of stories of entire crops of soybeans rejected for moisture damage, long delays in harvesting corn only to find out the corn is moldy, damaged or too light to be used as animal feed or even ethanol, and farmers unsure if they’ll even have a farm for another year due to the losses they’ve taken.

Pennsylvania farmland

Most agricultural products are purchased in futures, which are promises to deliver a quantity of a commodity at a future date. Futures carry many risks, prominent among them the possibility that the commodity simply won’t be available at the promised delivery date. While futures prices are set by the market, some of the information used to set the prices comes from the USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates reports. The unrealistic 2009 bumper crop predictions in its recent reports, which may have seemed reasonable months ago before 2009’s long string of bad weather but which USDA has failed to revise, drove futures prices artificially low.

But grain futures prices have already risen well above the USDA’s latest projections as the corn harvest threatens to drag on into March in some areas of the country, thanks to an unusually wet 2009 and unprecedented fall flooding in the Midwest.

The good news is that even with 2009 being the worst harvest in human memory, there will still be plenty of food in the U.S. to feed everyone in the U.S. The bad news — if you’re in the U.S. — is that the food won’t be used to feed everyone in the U.S.

It seems China has finally figured out what to do with all the U.S. dollars it’s holding. You’ll recall that the Federal Reserve took some pretty extreme measures over the last two years, ostensibly to save the U.S. economy. In fact, those measures have set us up the bomb. For decades China has been buying U.S. debt and financing Americans’ credit addiction as well as the government’s massive spending on millions of projects it has no business being involved in. But, it seems, they’ve had enough of the dollar and are about to pull the plug.

In the meantime, China has been using those dollars to buy every morsel of American food it can get its hands on. Combined with 2009’s bad weather and the USDA’s ridiculous numbers, this prompted a late August soybean shortage which is expected to continue through 2010.

The U.S. has a very good reason to fudge the numbers on crop estimates. If it published realistic numbers, and crop futures prices rose sharply, three things would likely happen: Wall Street would take massive losses, inflation fears would cause investors to dump bonds, frustrating the government’s attempts to finance its incredible expanding debt, and most importantly, China, whose currency is tied closely to the U.S. dollar, would allow it to appreciate. That alone would likely send the U.S. dollar into freefall; all three would mean utter economic collapse.

Of course, you can’t fool the market for long; as noted above, futures prices are already well above the USDA’s numbers. All they really managed to do with their numbers game was buy the U.S. dollar another year of life.

One market analyst believes that the 2010 food shortage will be the catalyst which not only brings about the collapse of the U.S. economy, but takes down Great Britain and Japan with it.

While a food crisis was unavoidable to some extent because of the abnormal weather and financial crisis, the total panic which will soon grip world agricultural markets is a creation of the USDA and its fictitious production estimates. If not for the USDA’s interference, food prices would have risen in the first half of 2009 in anticipation of the 2009/10 shortage. The United States Department of Agriculture has caused incalculable damage to the world economy by encouraging overconsumption of rapidly diminishing food supplies.

Once the 2010 Food Crisis starts, confidence in the US government will be shattered as a result of the USDA’s faulty estimates. The starvation and misery caused by higher food prices will also create a lot of anger . . . — Market Skeptics

In this scenario, rural banks will begin failing rapidly, especially in the Midwest, and the inevitable bailouts will drive up U.S. debt further. These bailouts, combined with the Chinese allowing the yuan to appreciate, will erode confidence in the U.S. dollar to the point that foreign banks and investors begin dumping U.S. debt at fire sale prices. At that point the Federal Reserve will have no choice but to print money, leading directly to hyperinflation.

I shouldn’t have to tell you what hyperinflation will look like, but in case you need a reminder, it will likely make the Great Depression look like a minor recession. Tens of millions of people who have never known want in their entire lives are going to be shocked to wake up broke and hungry, with no idea what happened or why it happened to them. The government will almost certainly be unable to fulfill its promises of food stamps, social security and other such welfare programs. Food riots are likely and people will almost certainly die when the government attempts to put them down.

Worst of all, almost nobody will assign blame where it truly belongs: central banks and fiat currency.

Market Skeptics and many other foreign investors I’ve seen quoted widely in foreign media but virtually never in the U.S., recommend investing in agriculture, except derivatives, and in precious metals. I also recommend you invest in as much nonperishable food as you can lay hands on in the next two months, at least a year’s supply if you can manage it. If there’s no collapse, you can eat it, and if there is, you’ll at least have something to eat. And when you read a headline such as “Yuan allowed to rise versus dollar,” it’s time to head for the hills.

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69 Comments → “Spring food crisis may trigger economic collapse”


  1. jeff

    Jan 07, 2010

    This story is factually inaccurate in so many ways. The editor/publisher that wrote it should be ashamed.

    Reply

  2. Jim

    Jan 07, 2010

    I work in at a grain facility, and we are stuffed full of grain. Not as good quality as in previous years, but within acceptable limits. Maybe you should do a little fact checking….but you’re just spewing fear mongering bullshit, so I guess you don’t have to.

    Reply

  3. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 07, 2010

    I haven’t checked his sources yet but I follow the points he makes on a daily basis, although not close enough to be able to make these kind of judgments. If however if his fact are wrong, he is straight up making them up, which doesn’t make sense with all the supporting links he appears to have provided and the level of coherence he presents his arguments with. I’m inclined to take his concerns seriously until I have thoroughly gone over his claims. Do to the nature of them, I suggest it would be better to hold your rhetorical tongue until you have done the same because what Mr. Hampton is talking about is not political, it is real, meaning taking sides or spouting ideologies will not change the course of the economic tsunami we may be facing if he is correct.

    Reply

  4. Michael Hampton

    Jan 07, 2010

    I would love to know which facts you believe are inaccurate so that I can make the necessary corrections.

    Reply

  5. jeff

    Jan 07, 2010

    What elevators are virtually empty? All are full, You cant deliver to some because they are filled to capacity.

    Where is the federal declarations that show 75% of the crop land is a disaster? Where is it that they are even eligible ?

    Explain how this is the worst harvest. It did not go as smootly as other years but yields are above average and harvest is nearly complete. How is it the worst?

    Reply

  6. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 07, 2010

    The authors last link ( http://www.marketskeptics.com/2009/12/2010-food-crisis-for-dummies.html )to an article titled 2010 Food Crisis for Dummies by Eric deCarbonnel appears to be a serious look at the potential for a 2010 crisis where the world runs out of food, even in the US. If this is bullshit, someone went to a lot of trouble to present it this way. Of course if we all went out and bought a years worth of canned goods, someone would make a lot of money, just the kind of people who could come up with an article like this without a lot of trouble. That could then lead to a food shortage that never would have happened while they could take credit for being correct even though they caused it and made billions from doing it. It’s some confusing shit that ought to be looked at more closely in a big public way. This country has been getting bent over a lot lately. We really need to know what’s real and what’s not right now, not another scam to relieve us of more of our future.

    Reply

  7. Michael Hampton

    Jan 07, 2010

    You can find all the disaster declarations at the USDA’s web site. They only provide them in text form, though; on a map they look like this. (Remember that adjacent counties are also eligible for disaster assistance, so the area covered is much larger than the map indicates.)

    Reply

  8. Michael Hampton

    Jan 07, 2010

    I’ve removed the phrase about grain elevators being empty from the article. This was based on information from several weeks ago which was true at the time, owing to the lateness of the corn harvest, but can no longer be substantiated as the harvest is now complete or nearly complete (depending on where you are).

    Reply

  9. Anonymous

    Jan 07, 2010

    Are you aware of Brazils record yields of soybeans, Argentina’s record harvest of corn? The world is not going to go hungry.

    Many US farmers had record breaking yields. While the harvest time was extended a few weeks due to weather, this is virtually normal every year someplace within the US, some years more so than others.

    Again, provide the names of all of the elevators that have near empty storage.

    Reply

  10. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 07, 2010

    I’ve thoroughly reviewed the article referenced in Mr.Hampton’s article titled “2010 Food Crisis for Dummies” by Eric deCarbonnel

    http://www.marketskeptics.com/2009/12/2010-food-crisis-for-dummies.html

    It is extensive and detailed while not at all hard for someone not schooled in understanding these topics to understand. I am fluent in all the issues raised in the article and find it to be of profound merit. It supports without error everything Mr. Hampton claims,, and more, much more.

    The world appears to be heading for an unprecedented crisis while Mr. Hampton is trying to provide evidence of it in the face of our government is lying to us about it. His efforts should be respected and even rewarded. At best, he shouldn’t be bashed around by people who likely have political and financial interests in the industry causing so much of this, ethanol. You people have been running amuck since 2006 claiming there’s a big conspiracy to make ethanol look bad while claiming it’s the cure for all mankind’s ills. The truth is that the worthless shit trashes everything it touches.

    In the end, this will all prove to be your fault so stop trying to shoot the messengers and start trying to figure out how you’re going to get us out of this mess you made.

    Here is another article written along the same lines.

    http://www.mb.com.ph/articles/236678/another-food-price-crisis

    Reply

  11. Anonymous

    Jan 07, 2010

    Perhaps the author is trying to pad his own pockets? Create a doom and gloom scenario for his own purposes?

    This story is based on ‘market skeptics’ information. Quoting from that site…..”I have moved to Russia and am setting up a fund to invest in Russian agriculture. I decided to post these warnings online and earn some ad revenue.

    Seems as though the author is wanting people to send our money to him in Russia based on his bad predictions and advise?

    Again, please provide all of the elevators and storage facilities that are virtually empty of corn and beans.

    Reply

  12. Jeff

    Jan 07, 2010

    Looking at the map links provided above, I am finding it hard to find even coming ‘close to 75%’ of the farmland under declaration of emergency. You can NOT include surrounding areas in declaring them potential areas.

    Are you even aware that the USDA covers a whole lot more than just soybeans and corn? Because a County is a certain color does not mean that County had a loss of corn or soybeans.

    Reply

  13. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 07, 2010

    To be honest, it appears the author of the article titled “2010 Food Crisis for Dummies,” Eric deCarbonnel made this same prediction last year while he invests in related markets. So I would venture to guess that if his theory sparked a run on non perishable food, it could lead to causing a food shortage while making him a lot of money. So I am no as inclined to worry about it as much as I had previously thought. If however it does happen, the only reason that food markets could have been made so unstable to allow it to be possible, or even predicted, is because of corn ethanol production. That much I stand by.

    I will still keep an eye on these concerns though. I am only speculating on deCarbonnel having motives for make misleading judgments in his article. Regardless of whether it happens or not, our future has been made vulnerable to failing from many unnecessary perspectives. If we make it through all this in one piece, I don’t see anyone coming out the other end being able to say I told you so. We’re in uncharted waters where anything is possible and disaster likely. But we are traditionally pretty damn lucky when it comes to close calls. It’s not wise however to take that for granted. We should be doing a better job rather than aligning ourselves against each other as doomsdayers or naysayers.

    Reply

  14. Michael Hampton

    Jan 07, 2010

    The early soybean harvest in South America does indeed look good overall, though for projections to be met, the weather will have to remain favorable, and some areas have been affected by flooding and rust. Corn projections are up too on the good weather. So you’re basically betting the farm, as it were, on several more months of good weather.

    The USDA numbers I’d really like to see are SURE program applications. That would prove or disprove the map as an indicator. I think that’s going to take a FOIA request to get hold of, and by the time they get around to releasing any meaningful numbers on such a request, the point will be moot.

    The biggest surprise of the day, though, was China announcing it was raising interest rates on its three-month bills. This will keep the yuan down for a while, but the pressure to appreciate it is still there and not likely to go away anytime soon.

    Reply

  15. John Bennett

    Jan 07, 2010

    One should know, by now, that there are always going to be two sides to every coin. That is, unless it is a trick coin. And in this case, along with just about everything else this country’s government, media, film industry, pharmaceutical industry, etc, etc, so on and so on has perpetrated upon us, as well as the rest of the world, I do indeed see a trick of epic proportions. Rest assured, though. This may be a “man made” event, but it has its purpose in our plan.

    One interesting thing to consider, for those whom may have seen it, is in the movie “Left Behind,” the premise behind the rise of Anti-Christ was based upon a world-wide food shortage. What’s even more interesting is that movie came out about ten years ago.

    Something to ponder, to say the least.

    Reply

  16. American

    Jan 08, 2010

    Regardless of what happens to exchange rates and interest rates, North Americans are the world’s most efficient food producers. Hands down. This efficiency has led to food surpluses that have flooded the world with cheap grains. So cheap, that other countries have had no reason to develop their production ag industries to the extent that we have in North America. Mostly because they know they can count on our massive production, and too much “scaling up” in the grain production indutry in their countries would leave many of their “farmers” unemployed. So, because of these surpluses, we North Americans have decided to use those grains to make fuel (whether right or wrong) because there was so much to go around. While prices may go up, do you think there is really a chance to see food shortages like the author talks? I know that when push comes to shove, I would spend more on food than gas. And, if that were to ever happen on a wide scale basis, the ethanol industry would shut down, because of this, the market for grain would be over supplied, and we would be sitting on a pile of grain like nothing that anyone has ever seen before. Since the US is still the largest holder of precious metals, I don’t see a surge in metal prices doing much to people of the US. And even if all of the US gold were sold, If I have a 50k bushel bin full of corn, and famine is widespread, and a foreign country tries to trade me for their bar of gold, I’m going to tell them to get lost.

    Reply

  17. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 08, 2010

    To get a better understanding of the grain to fuel market, read my article at this address -

    http://thelortonshow.com/TownHallMeeting/articleObamahealth.htm

    It’s not so much a shortage of food in grown in the US that should being worried about. It’s a shortage of cheap food and cash to buy it with in the US and many other countries. If prices of food starts to go up to the point that it harms the economy any more than it is already hurting, the fear is that it could lead to China being the only one who can afford our grains while the instability this could cause would lead to hyperinflation and a crash of the financial markets. This kind of scenario is already a concern from other perspectives even without this food shortage projection. Of course at some point we would have to draw the line at exporting food when our own people are starving because no one can afford to buy it at market prices. But then to not worry about it would be to say that you won’t mind standing in food lines waiting for your government issued ration while the rest of the world struggles to get through to the next harvest.

    No doubt these are serious concerns. To ignore this possibility as we have so many other vulnerabilities to the economy is completely irresponsible. Corn for anhydrous ethanol is the most absurd program ever conceived by perhaps any government in history. Read my article and see for yourself, look at the alternatives that are being ignored. No matter how you slice it, a lot of mistakes are being made and things done behind our backs that we should know about with regard to every aspect of ethanol. A potential food shortage here certainly ought to be considered along with all the rest, in fact more than considered but seriously looked at. There has been a serious worldwide food shortages since the ethanol program started. There have been food riots all over the world since 2006 because of it. Why would you balk at the notion that what we have been doing to third world countries could come back to haunt us here?

    Reply

  18. BatteryNotIncluded

    Jan 08, 2010

    Really? I saw much more produce in the supermarket this year than in the last 3 years. I know you’re talking grain, but the harvest was hardly a washout.

    Reply

  19. Perferoy Yackinaw

    Jan 08, 2010

    It’s easy to get carried away with disaster scenarios, but the reality is much more benign. Prices of food commodities go up and down, and some harvests are better than others, but as long as most fields brought in a harvest we’ll all be fine. I’m pretty certain I’ll be eating this coming Spring.

    Reply

  20. Michael Hampton

    Jan 09, 2010

    You probably will eat, and eat well, in 2010. The point here is that it would appear that food prices are going to go up, and quite likely much more than a normal up and down. This isn’t so bad in itself, but it will put a lot of stress on an already stressed government economy. People on food stamps, for instance, will find they don’t go nearly as far, and the government will be slow to react as it is with practically everything else.

    Will there be a collapse? It’s a worst case scenario, so it’s not that likely, but it is possible. I would rate it as much more likely than winning the lottery, so I’d recommend investing those dollar bills in bags of rice rather than lottery tickets. Even without a crash, it appears 2010 is going to be an even bumpier ride than the last two years.

    Reply
  21. Jan 09, 2010

    Reply

  22. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 09, 2010

    If you want to pat $359 for this study, it might tell you a thing or two.

    http://www.pr-inside.com/corn-prices-to-hit-the-us-r1658927.htm

    Reply

  23. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 09, 2010

    see also

    http://www.farmanddairy.com/news/late-corn-harvest-lifts-prices-for-now/13920.html

    Reply

  24. Michael Hampton

    Jan 09, 2010

    Well, I made a note of the Chinese yield rate news, which was released a mere hour after this article was published, since it indicates that China has absolutely no interest in having the U.S. economy collapse suddenly. Sensible, since they’re holding so much U.S. debt. There are scenarios which may cause them to change their mind, though. I would expect them to continue to unwind their dollar position as fast as they can, but as slow as they must.

    I think this, along with the previously noted good weather in South America, makes the prospect of a food crisis even less likely; however, I still think it’s in the realm of possibility. The U.S. economy has never been so precariously balanced, and there are still many things that could set off another economic downturn.

    Reply
  25. Jan 09, 2010

    Reply

  26. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 09, 2010

    Your article is relevant no matter how it may get responded to. I tried to warn in late 2007, early 2008 how a housing bubble burst was going to lead to a collapse of the whole system because unregulated derivatives allowed mortgage lenders to build a house of cards under the whole financial system. Before that, I said that oil speculators were going to cause the housing bubble to burst because the bottom tier of the economy was designed depend on cheap oil to remain fluid. In both cases, I made arguments for how this was going to be done purposely. If neither had happened, it wouldn’t have made me wrong or my articles irreverent. We would still be just as vulnerable to it happening, which we know to be fact because they did happen. But since nothing has changed, there is nothing from keeping any of it from happening again and again from the same or different directions. As long as there are idiots at the top of the financial system who think destroying the economy to make money makes makes them geniuses, there’s no telling where the economy will wind up. This means we have to look at everything. It would be easier to change the system and punish the people at the top severely, like with a lynching, but we haven’t evolved to the level of sophistication yet. Maybe we need to starve a few months to get there so in the long run, maybe it would help the economy. In that sense, maybe there’s a enough sense on Wall Street to see to it that it doesn’t happen.

    Reply

  27. John Wynne

    Jan 09, 2010

    #Chemtrails, #Haarp, #weather modification. We are so screwed.

    Reply

  28. John Ludi

    Jan 09, 2010

    Good article. I have had the same concerns about a possible food shortage this year as well. I have a few friends in the midwest who are farmers who had a devastating harvest this year.

    Another factor in the mix to consider is lending. The credit squeeze is still a major issue for farmers (as well as everyone else) and this does not bode well for those who are currently walking on a financial knife edge as it is. If next year has an even more schizoid set of weather patterns in store, that could be a rather unfortunate combination…and not just for the farmers.

    As for people who don’t think it’s prudent to keep at least a few weeks of food on hand for whatever contingency: well then, don’t. Whatever. Just don’t expect to depend on the generosity and largesse of others if YOU fall short someday.

    Reply

  29. oilrod

    Jan 09, 2010

    I would say some need to get off their bumpus and get in their cars and drive around and take a look for themselves.
    I do not know the in depth fact on most of this stuff But I have driven around in the Truck I drive and there has been a great change in the last 3 years.
    Where people were growing food crops the Government has made them Change to Corn to be used in gasohol.
    And So many of the Change crops have been drowned out over and over In Ok, Texas and Louisiana this is a big area.
    I said Forced Yes each State has been given a Quota by the Federal Gov. to produce the None food crops.
    Gov Perry in Texas Fought with the Government last year over this to no avail.
    So any one spewing garbage and laughing at this concern is just plain idiots are they have a agenda.
    I am concerned I do not know what extent the Problem is But I do know each person needs to be concerned to a Point.

    Reply
  30. Jan 10, 2010

    Reply

  31. Iowa girl

    Jan 11, 2010

    I don’t know about other parts of the world so much but I know that there are a lot of tractors being sold and a lot of farmers buying the new combines. I am in the trucking business and live in the country and our neighbors are doing fine. So if the farmers have no money then why are we trucking all theses combines and tractors to the them?

    Reply

  32. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 11, 2010

    http://www.argusleader.com/article/20100110/NEWS/1100310/1001

    Reply

  33. zeke

    Jan 12, 2010

    Two arguments going on here. One is called “anecdotal” meaning what is going on in MY life. Things like “my supermarket has food” or “my elevator is full”or “I’m hauling new tractors”. Essentially what is going on in my immediate area. Frankly, anecdotal tells you absolutely nothing about the big picture. The other comments are looking at a much larger picture and taking a whole lot more into consideration.

    I will follow up on the web sites given. We already have about three months of food on hand just because things are so unstable right now. If the food shortage sites support the authors article, we will get more.

    Reply

  34. Real Joe

    Jan 12, 2010

    Three words for this article.

    Crock. Of. Shit.

    Reply

  35. Jim Buchan

    Jan 12, 2010

    Americans don’t eat soybeans. Americans eat mostly wheat, potato and maybe barley for beer.

    The Chinese should worry for their soybean supply, not the Americans.

    Reply

  36. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 13, 2010

    http://www.feedstuffs.com/ME2/dirmod.asp?sid=F4D1A9DFCD974EAD8CD5205E15C1CB42&nm=Breaking+News&type=news&mod=News&mid=A3D60400B4204079A76C4B1B129CB433&tier=3&nid=7C6AE873DBF14E208D22122F0344E628

    Reply

  37. Bobby Fontaine

    Jan 14, 2010

    http://www.agrimoney.com/news/goldman-sachs-turns-negative-on-corn-price–1215.html

    Reply

  38. yoname

    Jan 15, 2010

    great article, ignore the trolls and dis-info clowns

    Reply

  39. wbradss

    Jan 15, 2010

    full to go to CHINA!

    Reply

  40. Doreen

    Jan 17, 2010

    Obviously there is nothing certain in prediction scenarios, however, when you look at t agricultural factors, the loss of dairy farms this past year alone, the lack of access to loans, the high fertilizer costs the year before last, the indebtedness of those producing the food, the concentrated and consolidated nature of our food supply and the overall financial scenario with our massive, unrelenting debt, the likelihood of a food crises is very, very high. How long do you expect farmers to continue to pay to work? When 65% of our produce is imported and we haven’t produced enough beef to feed our own consumption since the 70’s and we have the feds pushing ridiculous food safety bills and agencies working with corporations for financial profit against those who produce, we ARE in dire straits.

    When hyperinflation hits, it won’t matter if you have food on the shelves, there will still be a shortage in people’s bellies.

    The full on nay-sayers don’t have the whole picture. There is much more at play than is in this article, and there will be difficulties just because of the financial scenario in the not too distant future.

    The crop disaster maps are deceptive, though. If 30% of one crop fails in one county it goes on the list, but it isn’t indicative of a 30% failure in ALL crops. As for not eating soy beans….if you eat no processed food whatsoever it may be that your diet isn’t dependent upon soy, but just read the labels!

    Michael, please email me. I’d really love to speak with you about this.

    Reply

  41. Satama

    Jan 17, 2010

    American wrote:
    >>>North Americans are the world’s most efficient food producers. Hands down. This efficiency has led to food surpluses that have flooded the world with cheap grains.<<<

    I wouldn't call industrial agriculture based on erosion, increasing loss of topsoil and farmland, silting of rivers, poisining earth and water with chemicals – killing the goose – and totally dependent on cheap fossile energy "most efficient" except most efficient collapse of latest civilization to collapse in 10 000 years of civilization because of unsustainable and destructive farming and way of living.

    The classic book on the subject, 'Topsoil and Civilization' by Dale and Carter is available here:
    http://www.soilandhealth.org/copyform.aspx?bookcode=010113

    Reply

  42. Doug

    Jan 22, 2010

    No way ,,, BUT the last 3 paragraphs are CORRECT for any SHTF scenario, and there is a huge one on the radar scope. Right now corrupt government & big business run a muck have made the world extremely vulnerable to economic collapse. His article is very relevant for today but only from …. “In this scenario, rural banks will begin failing rapidly …” (right after the shaded area)

    It doesn’t matter how the system fails, if it goes you better be prepared. It doesn’t have to be like this. Throw out the Dems & Republicans – It’s time to elect people in the middle who won’t march in lock step with party line corruption. The fact that the top 3 people in our country are socialists scares the crap out of me. Who keeps voting for these clowns other than the welfare class??? The Dems are close to bankrupting the country. The Dems & Repubs got us here over the last 9 years and now the Obamanation is trying to deal the country a death blow by destroying the dollar.

    “The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not.”
    - Thomas Jefferson

    “I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies.”
    -Thomas Jefferson

    Reply

  43. Ed Maxwell

    Jan 22, 2010

    Glad I have over a years worth put up, now I can help those who never think it will happen to them. Also bought non GMO seed tube with all kinds of goodies.
    Remember: Amos 11: 8-14 11 “Behold, the days are coming,” says the Lord God,
    “That I will send a famine on the land, Not a famine of bread,
    Nor a thirst for water, But of hearing the words of the Lord.
    12 They shall wander from sea to sea, And from north to east;
    They shall run to and fro, seeking the word of the Lord, But shall not find it.

    Reply

  44. Bill

    Jan 24, 2010

    There is a huge Magnetic source in the inner solar system and is causing the weather trouble. It is getting closer and will get worst, is to cause all kinds of problems, Earth Quakes, Food shortages due to climatic changes, and The Three Days of Darkness, etc… Please check out the http://www.zetatalk.com/ Web Site!

    Reply

  45. Joe joe

    Jan 25, 2010

    Forget food hoarding. The wealth and safety is having seeds- non-hybrid preferably. Agricultural production does not have to be down for the government to create an artificial ‘food shortage’. Look at their failed attempt to create panic in the health sector with the H1N1 mass deceit….People buy the Big Lie!…

    Reply

  46. Not Impressed

    Jan 26, 2010

    Tinfoil

    Reply

  47. Heather Haney

    Jan 29, 2010

    Americans eat tons of soy! TVP, ask survivalists, vegetarins, school cafeteria workers, soy milk manufacturers, infant soy formula, soy cgeese soy burgers I could go on and on

    Reply

  48. Chris Gilliam

    Jan 31, 2010

    You just reminded me that I need to buy some cheap bulk soy and mix it into my diet. I like meat but not all the time. Ever miked soy into beans and rice? Good stuff.

    Reply

  49. Anonymous

    Feb 03, 2010

    When I used to travel across americas back lands there was a vast veritity of farming. Now its like soy bean, soy bean, soy bean & corn… Govt pays for that… & pays you for not growing other crops.

    Reply

  50. paul baisgele

    Feb 04, 2010

    WE ARE ALL DOOMED by the Spring of 2010.
    America is FINISHED.
    God Help us all, now.
    Only a Fuehrer can save America, not Obama.

    Reply

  51. Doug

    Feb 14, 2010

    Per Bill post above:
    “There is a huge Magnetic source in the inner solar system and is causing the weather trouble. It is getting closer and will get worst, is to cause all kinds of problems, Earth Quakes, Food shortages due to climatic changes, and The Three Days of Darkness, etc… Please check out the http://www.zetatalk.com/ Web Site!”

    People, Bill is off his meds. – Be sure to stock up on ammo, these types will be a problem.

    Per Joe Joe post above:
    “Forget food hoarding. The wealth and safety is having seeds…”

    Joe, how long will it take you seeds to produce food??? How are you going to protect your crops from the hoards of hungry people? (A 24/7 job for months!)

    “Trust No Man Living with Power to Endanger the Public Liberty.”
    - John Adams

    Reply

  52. 101st Airborne Division

    Feb 15, 2010

    Always be prepared. It doesn’t take much to uphold our responsibilities as fathers to our children. 50lbs x 4 of rice and beans, 12 cases of canned fruit, a case of oatmeal, 24×24 foot garden plot using heirloom and not F1’s, a shotgun, a 45, and a 308, 1000 rounds ammo each, case of batteries, lamp oil, large quantity of sugar/salt, 50 gals of gas and 5 or 10 cases of water…. Believe me, the gov’t will manipulate data any way they need….they will lie all the way down…GOVT/Private pensions invested in oil/housing derivatives…they knew. Get prepared. Better to have and use at your lesiure then need and not have…

    Reply

  53. adrienne

    Feb 15, 2010

    A very interesting article. I would hope that people are taking precautions to insure that their families have a safe food supply regardless of the crop yields. It is a fact that there are just a handful of mega multinational corps controlling the food supply. Sadly they may be able to produce more but it isn’t anything I would want my family to consume. Much of the corn and soy are GMO. A bit of research on GMO should raise some eyebrows.

    Reply

  54. Bets'

    Feb 19, 2010

    I believe food & fuel will rise exponentially this yr. The ‘asian carp crisis’ in ILinois may close the locks, causing food & fuel to rise. I have come to the conclusion that, the reason for the climate hoax, the millions$$ pouring into Haiti, the go green movement,crop failures, likely due to the chemtrail weather altering,Ovomit’s peace prize, the global economy,NO JOBS, 1 out of 4 bushels of corn go to biofuel, possible EMP attacks,re-distribution of wealth, closing of state parks…(omg, no wonder my last employer thought I was unstable)It all boils down to one thing, the bottom line . Think Global. It has a name, and it is AGENDA 21. Every county in America has a SmartGrowth plan, or a Local Agenda 21. (LA21) It is a plan to pass power to local goverments. Goodbye private property.Hello close-knit communities. Sustainable development/unsustainable development. It has been in the making for a very long time,and I believe this is the bottom line. Fasten your seltbelts babies, We’re Goin’ Global!

    Reply

  55. Mary

    Feb 28, 2010

    Although this sounds like doom and gloom and easy to write off as a fanatic, I have read and seen many, many other similar works. Ug99 wheat rot is sweeping through Africa, parts of Asia and now Europe. Colony Collapse Disorder is a plague on bees, the world’s pollinators. Corn for ethanol is robbing the world of 25% of America’s corn and decreasing the production of wheat as corn is a better money crop. Droughts in 48 states, floods, parts of California’s south is destroyed due to the idiocy of saving the smelt, global cooling, and many more troubles have helped to bring on a real food crisis. Not to mention India and China now demanding to eat like Americans, so there goes more food overseas.

    Take the time and do your own homework. Even if you only invest $250.00 in rice, that’s 2000 pounds of rice you can eat for the next 20 years at 7 cents a pound. You can’t lose.

    BTW, a family of four eating 2 cups of rice a day per person will eat 50 pounds of rice in less than one month, about 25 days!

    I personally think he’s on the money. I refuse to watch my kids starve, no, not me.
    For more info on preparing go to www.spiritwars.net “Preparing Physically” page.

    God help us!

    Mary Kay Mason

    Reply

  56. whatever

    Feb 28, 2010

    I can’t speak for the entire country but in my area the snow cover is heavy and will likely not completely melt until early May perhaps June in some areas of the state. Top that off with many thousands of acres of unharvested crop and a high risk for major spring flooding and the question is how do many finish last years harvest and get a new crop in for 2010. I understand the elevators may be “full” but that doesn’t mean the crop is “unsold”. And yes rural banks are very vulnerable right now. Of course time will tell.

    Reply

  57. oldschool

    Mar 02, 2010

    I have heard testimony from more than one person that the grain silo’s are being emptied, and the grain is being shipped to China

    Reply

  58. Mary

    Mar 02, 2010

    Interesting you should say that about the grain silos. A youtuber who lives in the bread basket, {I can’t remember the state} said he had always seen the wheat silos full and now they were empty. Then he said at 2AM he saw train cars, approx. 400, loading up wheat and heading in the direction of a port.
    The US use to keep a 3 month supply of food for all Americans, now I understand it’s a 2 weeks supply. Just think of that, from 90 days to 14!

    Whay if China demands we either give them food or they will sell off their worthless dollars? We are screwed.

    Patriots we need to load up on supplies, two years worth of food and all the silver rounds you can afford. I sold my diamond wedding ring to make purchases. Ya can’t eat a stone.

    I believe we have less than 6 months.
    For info on what to buy to prepare and how to store food, grow a garden, home protection, what to do to prepare for all emergencies, and much more go to www.spiritwars.net and check out “Preparing Physically.”

    We must prepare ASAP!!!

    There will be no warning UNTIL THE HOUR the stock market starts it’s meteoric descent and the banks suddenly close at 10AM, credit cards and debit cards all CUT OFF, FROZEN. So store cash!

    GET MOVING THERE ISN’T MUCH TIME. DO IT FOR YOUR KIDS.

    MK

    Reply

  59. John K

    Mar 02, 2010

    The thing that has been overlooked here in all of this is you can have bumper crops with enough food to feed the whole world ten times over. But what happens if and when (of which I’ll bet) will happen again, gas prices rising so high, or so called fuel shortages maybe even worse than in the 70’s? Crops won’t ship no matter how much there is. That scenario is the most likely one to take place!

    Reply

  60. Bets'

    Mar 02, 2010

    If you really want to know the bottom line, the ‘plan’,I’ll tell you.But it took me a long time to thread my way to it. Since there are so many like minded thinkers, er, survialists, er, realists,I’ll spill. It’s called Agenda 21, or Local Agenda 21. Think global, cause all 170 UN nations are part of it and it’s heading right for us, and that right quick.We can thank Bush 1st for signing us into it and the Clinton/Gore fiasco that started the Global Warming hoax. Every county in the United States has a SmartGrowth plan for their town. I think things will really go south after the 2010 census and before the 2012 election. OVomit isn’t going to step down without a fight…and neither will I. (I just know I don’t have enough supplies) And has anyone noticed all the TV shows re: Survivorman, Apocalyps man,Nostradomes Effect,Jessie Ventura Conspiracy theory,Life W/O People. After Armagedon was on the History channel this morn… and if thats the kind of crap coming down the pike, all I can say is brace yourselves

    Reply

  61. Mary

    Mar 03, 2010

    Yep, you’re both right on the money.
    The Federal Reserve banksters have us in checkmate and if we resist, to FEMA camps we go.
    I saw this coming 20 years ago, it’s all laid out in the Bible in the book of Revelation. The anti-christ is about to enter the scene this year, mark my word. Check out danielstimeline on youtube to get blown away with timing of the end times.

    The Bible clearly says that those who do not accept Christ will be deceived and follow the anti-christ.

    For info on salvation go to spiritwars at dot net “Prelude to the Gospel” and “The Gospel”

    Don’t to caught dead without Jesus

    Reply

  62. Unsurpised

    Mar 04, 2010

    The thing about government is that it will not listen to its people in matters that concern people living in an occupation in crisis. The government thinks it know better. Only when it hits, then everyone is in shock and something is done. Basically, it is to add on another program that is suppose to fit the problem. That is why it is up to the indivual to assess the situation and take it upon themselves to come up with solutions for themselves.

    I can add to the information from a local paper in Southern California that local farmers are not raising crops. It said this past summer that 40% of the farmers sold their water rights to big cities for pay from the Colorado River. That means less planting, workers, fertilizer, etc. In other words, less work and cost to the farmer. The cities think their swimming pools are more important than a steady food supply. If California is the food table of America and the World, it will change. The darter fish has changed the food production up North on the
    I5 due to EPA control being more important than food in American bellies. One judge can stop occupations and the ability for a whole nation to continue food production. The government does not listen and will probably form another program to control themselves. Nuts!

    Reply

  63. Mary

    Mar 04, 2010

    Yeah but how big is your grain facility? How many people does it feed? What percent of the world can it feed? Or even our country?
    I traveled in Illinois last year and 1000’s of acres of fields were two feet under water. NC is drenched from heavy rains for the past five months. Southern Ca. is dry as a bone thanks to PETA’s smelt.

    Reply

  64. Barb

    Mar 05, 2010

    Michael Hampton is using his best judgment like all the rest of us. However his focus on agriculture and China was too narrow to bring the whole puzzle together. The limited spectrum skews the data and time line. His statements were factual as far as they went. Farmers had a disasterous season in 2009. Someone blogged Brazil could make up the worldwide shortfall with their crops. It doesn’t work like that and if they were in agribusiness or farming they would know better. Someone blogged Americans don’t eat soybeans? If they only knew how many thousands of products and uses soybeans have they would retract that statement.

    2010 or 2012 is a moot point in the grand expanse of time. The unmistakable outcome is going to be the same. Our nation as we know is is through. Those in control of our nation has plotted this end for more than forty years. Their problem was it came unglued too soon. They lost control and our nation is in free fall to anarchy. It would have happened in 2009 except the Fed Res Bank shipped three trillion dollars to New Zealand to buy back part of our debt. If they can get their hands on healthcare and cap and trade carbon credits they can keep it going a tad longer.

    Get right with God, stock up on non perishable food and ammo. I have no idea if making it to the other side of this abyss is going to be anything to brag about but I’m gonna try. Non of us are going to make it without God’s help no matter how much we prepare.

    Reply

  65. Sandy

    Mar 07, 2010

    Having worked with the major food companies for 16 years, the supply is much lower than people think, especially with the weather changing rapidly. Just look at the recent news story about people having to ask for tomatoes on their fast food burgers and one major food company not having their 14oz ketchup available. This is a global situation and if you go to gardening centers, they are packed with people wanting to learn how to grow their own food. Home gardening, school gardens, community gardens, farm to school programs etc are increasing as they did during the depression. Community supported agriculture (CSA’s) farms are massively on the rise and the demand is unable to meet the supply. Add in the contamination of the food supply from CAFO’s (confined animal feeding operations) and other unsustainable agricultural practices (such as GMO/GE crops that contaminate food with the gov deciding that the GE company has the final say on what research is released…sounds like the drug company’s and the FDA) and pharmaceuticals in biosolids (sewer sludge) being dumped on farmlands and we are all in deep doo doo.

    Reply

  66. Bets'

    Mar 09, 2010

    Spring food crisis may trigger economic collapse | Homeland …
    Jan 7, 2010 … Once the 2010 Food Crisis starts, confidence in the US government ….. It has a name, and it is AGENDA 21. Every county in America has a …

    www.homelandstupidity.us/2010/01/07/spring-food-crisis-may… – Similar

    Michael, when I entered a search for “Agenda 21 & Food Crisis”, the above is what came up…funny, as one of my comments to this site,included this line,” It has a name, and it is AGENDA 21. Every county in America has a SmartGrowth plan, or a Local Agenda 21.” Was this borrowed from me??? Cool!

    Reply

  67. oxy

    Mar 13, 2010

    The real problem may not be how much corn there is but what state the corn is in. Several molds are more prevalent this year due to the wet weather at harvest time. One of them creates a toxin called Vomitoxin or DON. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vomitoxin While not as dangerous to humans as aflatoxin, it is pretty bad for hogs, makes them not want to eat, loose weight etc. Not real good for cows either. Once the toxin is formed by the mold it isn’t destroyed by heat. Thus when you make ethanol it is still there, but concentrated in the DDGS (Dried Distillers Grains with Solubles) which is a byproduct of making ethanol and is feed to livestock. Since ethanol needs to sell the DDGS as well as get subsidies, they don’t want the level of vomitoxin to be too high thus they are turning away corn that is over a certain level. http://www.ocj.com/article/627/vomitoxin-leaving-some-farmers-feeling-rejected.html One way of dealing with this is to mix non-contaminated corn with contaminated so the total PPM in the whole is OK. But what if there is not enough uncontaminated corn to mix?

    So I would contend that there is the question of “did the USDA give accurate figures” but perhaps the more important question is “what is happening in the silos?” Do some googling on “corn mold 2010″, “vomitoxin” etc. There has even been a question as to whether the new GM corn dries as well as older varieties. Drying corn was a big expense for farmers this year and I understand some places were working full out to dry enough. see http://www.energybulletin.net/51008

    Oh and there is also the soil compaction issue – harvesting wet corn in wet fields with heavy equipment does not bode well for the next year’s crop

    Reply

  68. Mary Kay

    Mar 13, 2010

    I hate to tell you this Joe but the US government is going to make all private gardens ILLEGAL. They will be considered “Organic” gardening and prohibited under US law.
    I pasted the following from Constitutional Emergency:

    I have no doubt that this legislation was heavily influenced by lobbyists from huge food producers. This legislation is so broad based that technically someone with a little backyard garden COULD GET FINED AND HAVE THEIR PROPERTY SEIZED.
    It will effect anyone who produces food even if they do not sell but only consume it.
    DO NOT TAKE MY WORD FOR IT, READ THIS LEGISLATION FOR YOURSELF. [HR 875] & [S 425] The more people who read this legislation the more insight we are going to get and be able to share. Post your observations and insights below. Urge your members to read this legislation and to oppose the passage of this legislation.
    Pay special attention to:
    Section 3 which is the definitions portion of the bill-read in it’s entirety. section 103, 206 and 207- read in it’s entirety. Red flags I found and I am sure there are more………..
    Legally binds state agriculture depts to enforcing federal guidelines effectively taking away the states power to do anything other than being food police for the federal dept.
    Effectively criminalizes organic farming but doesn’t actually use the word organic.
    Effects anyone growing food even if they are not selling it but consuming it.
    Effects anyone producing meat of any kind including wild game.
    Legislation is so broad based that every aspect of growing or producing food can be made illegal. There are no specifics which is bizarre considering how long the legislation is.
    Section 103 is almost entirely about the administrative aspect of the legislation. It will allow the appointing of officials from the factory farming corporations and lobbyists and classify them as experts and allow them to determine and interpret the legislation. Who do you think they are going to side with?
    Section 206 defines what will be considered a food production facility and what will be enforced up all food production facilities. The wording is so broad based that a backyard gardener could be fined and more.
    Section 207 requires that the state’s agriculture dept act as the food police and enforce the federal requirements. This takes away the states power and is in violation of the 10th amendment.

    SCARY HUH? STORE FOOD!!!! TO PREPARE GO TO WWW.SPIRITWARS.NET for a complete lists of foods and supplies and how to properly store them.

    In Him,
    Mary kay Mason

    Reply

  69. Mary Kay

    Mar 13, 2010

    Yep, BFI! Brace For Impact!

    I’ve heard of Agenda 21, I’ll check it out.

    I believe the Bilderberg group are the ten central Federal Reserve bankster VAMPIRES and like minded billionares, {Soros, Rupert, Clinton, Gore, Bush’s, Obama, Carter, major media liars, etc.} to form a New World Order, a one world governemnt/one world church, headed of course by them, the progressive elite. They are doing this same thing in every country.
    They have the US in checkmate.
    I think a stock market crash is coming in early fall, then a run on the banks, a banking holiday ordered by Obama, then rioting, then martial law, suspending our Constitution. Checkmate.
    The Bible says all of this is going to happen so though I believe we should fight evil we will not win until Christ returns. The best thing we can do is prepare food, supplies, silver, etc.. and draw close to Jesus.

    Are you ready for His return?

    Reply

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